QUARTERLY IN DEPTH INVESTMENT ANALYSIS – TELOMIR PHARMACEUTICALS, INC (NASDAQ: TELO)
Disseminated on behalf of Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
QUARTERLY IN DEPTH INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
Telomir Pharmaceuticals – $TELO
This communication is not an offer to buy or sell securities nor is it to be construed as personal investment advice. Nothing contained in this communication should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to future performance.
For this Quarters In Depth Investment Analysis I am going to be covering a name in one of my favorite sectors to trade – Biotech.
I have been conducting due diligence on this name for the past several months, meeting with the management team and medical advisors to get a better understanding of the novel small molecule they have developed and its future potential implications across numerous industries. That said, I think it would be an understatement for me to say that I am excited to finally share my completed investment thesis with the Spartan Community.
For those of you that are new to Spartan Trading, or are just receiving our free weekly newsletter for the first time, my goal is to cover one company in detail every quarter that I feel has good investment potential when considering risk / reward.
And those that are familiar with Spartan Trading know that I like to find early movers within the Biotech space. Not only do I think I have found a company that is an early mover, I think that I have found a company that could be revolutionary in providing solutions for age-related diseases, provided they are successful in completing their clinical trials.
For centuries humans have been searching for the “Fountain of Youth” in an effort to transcend aging; with multiple cultures claiming that youth will be restored to anyone who drinks from or bathes in it, symbolizing humanities desire for eternal youth and immortality.
There may be no evidence that such a “Fountain” exists – but what if there was a drug that could give people the chance to turn back their bodies biological age? What if we could reverse or mitigate age related diseases? What if we could repair damaged organs or other tissues?
Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: TELO) is a preclinical stage pharmaceutical company with a groundbreaking focus on telomere regeneration and age-related inflammatory diseases. Its lead drug candidate, Telomir-1, presents a novel approach to extending telomeres, potentially reversing aging processes and addressing age related conditions such as osteoarthritis.
Backed by a strong management team, strategic partnerships, exclusive licensing agreements and promising pre-clinical results, this comprehensive investment thesis will explore why I feel that $TELO stands at the forefront of a transformative biotech opportunity and why an early investment could yield high returns, especially as they progress through clinical trials and into market adoption.
Spartan’s Technical Analysis
Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: TELO)
- Idea: Long $TELO $6.00 – $7.50 (Starter Position)
- 1st Target Area: $9.41
- 2nd Target Area: $11.27
- 3rd Target Area: $15.55
- Stops: $4.40
- Float: 16.5M
- Shares Outstanding: ~29.61M
- Insider & Institutional Ownership: ~42.64%
- Strategic Investors & Management Ownership: ~15M
- Free Trading: ~1M (excluding strategic investors & management*)
- Market Cap: 178.2M
- Cash on hand: $1.23M
- Debt: No Debt Outstanding
- Burn Rate: $3.9M / Year
Back into the middle of its range, looking to build a position on the long side here, once that 50ema breaks to the upside will be looking for full size and continuation to the recent range. IMO this will be a faster position as it gets traction given the low float and the speculative news around the name. Low floats have also been quite hot as of late.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Background
Founded in 2021, Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Telomir) is a pre-clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of Telomir-1 as the first novel small molecule to lengthen the DNA’s protective telomere caps in order to potentially reverse age-related conditions. Telomir’s goal is to develop and commercialize Telomir-1 (which is proposed to be dosed orally) for hemochromatosis (iron overload) and ultimately post-chemotherapy recovery and a broader range of other age-related inflammatory conditions such as osteoarthritis.
$TELO presents a compelling investment opportunity driven by its innovative technology, large market potential, strategic partnerships, and experienced management team.
As the company progresses towards key milestones, including preclinical data readouts and potential regulatory advancements, investor sentiment is likely to improve, reflecting positively on the stock’s valuation. With no direct competitors in the space and a clear path to address unmet medical needs, Telomir is positioned for long-term success in the burgeoning field of age-related therapeutics.
What are Telomeres?
Telomeres are structures made from DNA sequences and proteins found at the ends of chromosomes (TTAGGG). During cell division, telomeres allow cells to divide without losing genes by protecting the chromosome ends from becoming damaged, similar to a plastic cap on the end of a shoelace.
As humans age, telomeres progressively shorten with each cell division until cells eventually reach a critical length where they can no longer divide (Hayflick’s phenomenon). This state of irreversible growth arrest is known as cellular senescence (death) and is associated with aging and age-related diseases.
Metal reactivity (a build up of ionized metals in our system) can accelerate the telomere shortening process. There are also a number of other factors that can lead to accelerated telomere shortening:1
- Stress
- Regularly eating sugar laden / processed food
- Extreme physical activity
- Frequent smoking / vaping
- Frequent lack of sleep / short sleep times
Groundbreaking Oral Stem Cell Therapy – Telomir-1
$TELO Telomir-1’s novel mechanism of action involves the elongation and stimulation of telomeres, crucial components in cellular aging. By inhibiting metals associated with age-related inflammatory conditions and disrupting specific inflammatory pathways, Telomir-1 shows promise in potentially reversing aging processes.
Telomir-1 offers a non-toxic oral therapeutic treatment, providing a convenient and patient-friendly alternative to existing therapies. Its extrusion through urine minimizes liver processing, enhancing safety and tolerability.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Modeling of Telomir-1
$TELO collaborated with InSilicoTrials, an innovator in leveraging AI and simulations to enhance drug development, to perform advanced AI modeling on Telomir-1. Early research has confirmed the mechanism of action of Telomir-1 and suggests that it may be a potent metal inhibitor, potentially leading to a reversal of aging through telomere regulation.
Promising Preclinical Studies
Early preclinical studies and collaborations with InSilicoTrials indicate Telomir-1’s potential efficacy in telomere elongation and age reversal. Positive outcomes in animal studies, including improvements in mobility and cognitive functions, set the stage for significant milestones.
Mouse trials have shown a 10-fold increase in telomere counts within 10 days of treatment, restoring mobility and cognitive function.
See bottom of thesis for recent video interview with Frank O’Donnell, MD (Co-Founder & Special Advisor) explaining mouse trial results, demonstrating the effectiveness of Telomir-1 – Timestamp 04:35
Charles River Laboratories – Rat Study
High Level Overview:
- Adult Sprague Dawley rats at 7-9 months old used for the study.
- Osteoarthritis induced by intra-articular injection of MIA (Monoiodoacetate) in the knee joint on Day 0.
- Dosing of Telomir-1 by oral gavage performed from Day 3 to Day 14.
- Dynamic Weight Bearing (DWB) will be assessed at different time points (Day 4, 7, 10 and 14) for evaluation of joint nociception.
See bottom of thesis for recent video interview with Frank O’Donnell, MD (Co-Founder & Special Advisor) explaining the compassionate use case above, demonstrating the effectiveness of Telomir-1 in a large mammal (Canine) – Timestamp 07:25
Argenta – Midwest Veterinary Services, Inc – Canine Study
Purpose: Determining the efficacy of Telomir-1 on Mitigating the Clinical Signs of Osteoarthritis using a Femoral Induction Model in Laboratory Dogs. Start of in-life phase Q2 2024 End of Live Phase (necropsy) Q4 2024
Primary Objective: Evaluate the efficacy of Telomir-1 for mitigating the progression of osteoarthritis based on symptomatic, radiographic, gross pathologic and histopathologic evaluations of age reversal.
Secondary Objective: Demonstrate the safety of Telomir-1 when administered daily for 168 consecutive days.
Upcoming Milestones
$TELO Key milestones, such as the completion of the Rat and Canine studies, are expected to provide critical data on Telomir-1’s efficacy and safety profile, serving as catalysts for investor confidence and valuation growth.
Positive results in the Canine Study could signal a successful transition to human trials. Intention is an initial IND filing in Q1 2025 for Osteoarthritis.
Market Opportunity – Large Addressable Market
According to Allied Market Research, the global longevity and anti-senescence therapy market was valued at $25.1 billion in 2020, and is projected to reach $44.2 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2021 to 2030.2
Telomir targets a substantial market opportunity, primarily focusing on osteoarthritis, the most common cause of disability in the world. With an estimated 528 million individuals globally affected by osteoarthritis3 and an increasing emphasis on anti-aging therapies, Telomir-1’s potential to address age-related inflammatory conditions broadens its market reach.
Current treatments for osteoarthritis provide symptomatic relief but fail to address the underlying causes.4 Telomir-1’s unique mechanism of action positions it to meet the unmet needs of patients seeking disease-modifying therapies.
The estimated value of the market is $7.4 billion worldwide in 2021, expected CAGR of 8.5% through 2030.5
If Telomir’s preclinical study results can be replicated in large clinical trials this technology may be able to combat an almost endless array of age-related diseases, leading to unimaginable market opportunities.
Strategic Collaborations & Intellectual Property (IP)
$TELO benefits from strategic collaborations with industry-leading and highly reputable organizations like John Hopkins School of Medicine, IQVIA, InSilicoTrials, and Charles River, enhancing its research capabilities and accelerating drug development.
Exclusive licensing agreements ensure access to critical intellectual property rights, providing Telomir Pharmaceuticals with a competitive edge and long-term sustainability (and act as a potential attractor for acquisition interest from larger firms).
World Wide Patent Rights are licensed from an affiliated IP development company under a perpetual, worldwide exclusive license agreement that bears an 8% running royalty.
Experienced Management Team
Led by Co-Founder and CEO Chris Chapman, Telomir boasts an experienced management team with over 30 years of pharmaceutical industry expertise including Chief Medical Officer, inventor and Co-Founder, Dr. Frank O’Donnell, MD who holds over 40 US Patents.
The involvement of Dr. Michael F. Roizen, a prominent figure and New York Times Best Selling Author in the field of age-related medicine, lends credibility and strategic guidance to the company’s initiatives.
Potential Risks & Challenges
Despite the promising outlook, investing in preclinical stage biotech companies carries inherent risks, including regulatory hurdles, clinical trial failures, and intellectual property challenges. Moreover, the competitive landscape may evolve rapidly, necessitating continuous innovation and adaptation. Investors should carefully assess these risks and consider diversification strategies when investing in Telomir Pharmaceuticals.
Conclusion – Posed to Disrupt the Healthcare Landscape
$TELO represents a compelling investment opportunity at the forefront of biotechnological innovation where early investment could yield high returns, particularly as the company progresses through clinical trials and into market adoption..
With Telomir-1’s potential to address age-related inflammatory conditions and potentially reverse cellular aging, the company stands poised to disrupt the healthcare landscape significantly.
Backed by a robust management team, strategic collaborations, and promising preclinical study data, Telomir Pharmaceuticals is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of the burgeoning anti-aging and inflammatory disease markets. As the company progresses towards key milestones and regulatory advancements, investors can anticipate significant value creation and potential returns. However, prudent risk management and a long-term perspective are essential, given the inherent uncertainties associated with biopharmaceutical development.
By investing in $TELO investors may be able to not only participate in a transformative healthcare opportunity but also contribute to the advancement of longevity and improved quality of life for individuals worldwide.
Back into the middle of its range, looking to build a position on the long side here, once that 50ema breaks to the upside will be looking for full size and continuation to the recent range. IMO this will be a faster position as it gets traction given the low float and the speculative news around the name. Low floats have also been quite hot as of late.
Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: TELO)
- Idea: Long $TELO $6.00 – $7.50 (Starter Position)
- 1st Target Area: $9.41
- 2nd Target Area: $11.27
- 3rd Target Area: $15.55
- Stops: $4.40
Idea will be to hold for 6-12 months long as they complete the next few animal studies. If the Canine Study results are positive (and they show that they have either mitigated or reversed age-related diseases or health issues) IMO everyone in the world will be buying this drug for their pets.
This could potentially be a billion+ Revenue Catalyst on its own (without even having to go to human trials).
Current Idea is a Long on $TELO
More information on Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc, including their most recent press presentations and press releases can be found here.
Spartan (aka ‘Chris’)
References:
1. Roizen, M. Linneman, P. & Ratner, A (2002). The Great Age Reboot: Cracking the Longevity Code for a Younger Tomorrow. National Geographic.
2. https://www.alliedmarketresearch.com/longevity-and-anti-senescence-therapy-market-A14010
3. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/osteoarthritis
4. https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/osteoarthritis/diagnosis-treatment/drc-20351930
5. https://www.polarismarketresearch.com/industry-analysis/global-osteoarthritis-market
* Full Free Trading Float (including strategic investors & management) is ~5.387M
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